The framework
Forecast. Insight. Resilience.
FIR is not a product. It is the idea behind every product. Three pillars, one grammar: the way atmospheric signal becomes decision, and decision becomes outcome.
01 · Forecast
Forecast: what the atmosphere is going to do.
Calibrated, probabilistic prediction across every lead time that matters: sub-hourly, daily, seasonal, decadal.
- Ensemble output, not deterministic traces
- Regional refinement on global skeleton
- Continuously evaluated against public baselines
02 · Insight
Insight: what it means for you.
Translation from atmospheric state to operational state. A temperature field becomes a heat index. A wind field becomes a risk surface.
- Industry-specific indices and thresholds
- Asset, exposure, and operation overlays
- Explainable outputs with confidence intervals
03 · Resilience
Resilience: what you do about it.
Action, transfer, and adaptation. Operational levers, parametric cover, long-horizon planning.
- Operational decision automation
- Parametric risk transfer structuring
- Strategic adaptation modelling
In practice
Every mistEO product expresses at least one pillar. The best express all three.
A livestock heat-index is an Insight product built on Forecast, closed with Resilience via parametric cover.